PC-Fecta Derby V (2018-19)
Final Standings
An astonishing finish to the Fastest Four Weeks in Football!
Heading into the homestretch, Little Tuna had an estimated 96% likelihood to win the PC-Fecta Derby. Not only did one Analyst have to Pick Three Correctly (12.5% chance), that one Analyst had to best all other Analysts for the best offense AND the best defense (30% chance with a Trifecta) to force a photo finish on tiebreakers.
In the early games, Little Tuna lost her opportunity to secure victory when the Falcons lost. Jimmy V notched a Trifecta with the typical display of AFC East dominance. But, Sponge Mom and Atwork owned the PC-Fecta bonus points if the Eagles won in overtime. Little Tuna’s chances suddenly rose or fell with Sponge Mom.
After the Packers (0 defense points) and Bears won (48 offense points), Sponge Mom and Atwork had a 92% chance to take Place and Show when the Eagles had 1st and 10 on the Titans’ 17 yard line. A victory by the Eagles also would have sent Little Tuna to the finish line with the Win. And, that is why we Pick the games….
![Sponge Mom's Trifecta Probability](https://i0.wp.com/www.roi2partners.com/wftl/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/WinProbability.jpg?resize=461%2C481)
The winner of PC-Fecta Derby V is:
Jimmy V! The first yearling in WFTL history to win a Crown (since the first year). When the Eagles fell to the Titans, his Home Team’s blow out reaped all three bonus points to draw into a Trifecta point tie with Little Tuna. By virtue of 2 Correct Home Team Picks, he edges her by a head for the Win in PC-Fecta Derby V!
Little takes Place. Hobbled down the homestretch by a Home Team bye week, The Strategist nonetheless takes the Show with a Trifecta. Honorable mention goes to B-Reezy in fourth place with the only other Trifecta point in the PC-Fecta Derby.
The rest of the field struggled to find their first Trifecta (0 Trifectas) on the unforgiving Derby track.
Sponge Mom (3 Correct Home Team Picks and +11.5 point differential) and Big Tuna (3 Correct Home Team Picks and +4.0 point differential) nevertheless delivered stand out performances. Atwork finishes with 2 Correct Home Team Picks (+2.3 point differential) and the first tiebreaker over Sponge Mom. Fifth through seventh places end in a dead heat (Sponge Mom best Big Tuna, Big Tuna bests Atwork, and Atwork bests Sponge Mom).
At the back of the field with 1 Correct Home Team Pick separated by first tiebreaker or point differentials (see final table), Roxy Trot finishes 8th, The Bookie struggles to 9th, Craft Brew waves the yellow flag for 10th and Wise O. gets a one way ticket back to fourth grade for his last place effort.
Trifecta Points
![PC-Fecta Derby V | Final Results](https://i0.wp.com/www.roi2partners.com/wftl/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/PCFectaDerbyVStandings4.jpg?resize=660%2C300)
Tiebreakers
![PC-Fecta Derby V | Tiebreakers | Final Results](https://i0.wp.com/www.roi2partners.com/wftl/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/PCFectaDerbyVTiebreakers4.jpg?resize=660%2C883)