Current Standings | PC-Fecta Derby VI
Roxy Trot (34 points) remains in first place, but followed closely by Craft Brew (32 points). Only Little Tuna (24), Atwork (24), Jimmy V (21), and The Bookie (21) can overtake the two leaders for the Win. Big Tuna (16) can catch Craft Brew for the Place.
B-Reezy (13), Wise Orangutan (9), Sponge Mom (12), Woody (13), and KateTDid (14) are eliminated from the Purse, but can still earn a Show.
The Strategist (6) is eliminated from The Winner’s Circle.
Scenarios
There are 17 points possible in the final Leg if an Analyst hits the *base* Trifecta PLUS all *bonus* points. Even if one of the trailing Analysts earn those points, Roxy Trot or Craft Brew may take the Win with a *base* Trifecta.
For Win or Place:
If Roxy Trot earns a *base* Trifecta with her Home Team OR takes the *Offense bonus* points, she will have at least 41 points, enough to eliminate all but Craft Brew. A *lame* Trifecta for 3 to 4 points may be enough for the Win or Place if Craft Brew also fades down the stretch and no Analyst earns 14+ points (*base* Trifecta plus *Offense bonus*).
Craft Brew is in a similar position if he overtakes Roxy Trot, but he needs a *base* Trifecta and *Defense bonus* points to score enough (42) to eliminate the trailing Analysts for the Win or the Place. Any score less than 42 points is vulnerable to Little Tuna and Atwork, while any score less than 38 points is also open to Jimmy V and The Bookie.
Little Tuna and Atwork trail the leader by 10 points, so they need the *base* Trifecta and *Defense bonus* OR the *lame* Trifecta and *Offense bonus* points at a minimum. The *base* Trifecta plus both *Offense* and *Defense* bonus points will take them to 41 points, enough for Place if Craft Brew does not ALSO tie for either of those bonuses.
Jimmy V and The Bookie likely will need the max 17 points to have a comfortable chance at Place or Win. If Craft Brew or Roxy Trot fail to score any points, then a *base* Trifecta and *Offense bonus* points (14 total) may be enough for Place at the least.
Big Tuna cannot take the Win. He has an outside chance to Place if the leaders falter down the final stretch AND he alone earns the *bonuses* for 17 total points. He will reach 33 points and edge one length ahead of Craft Brew.
