Current Standings | Fibonacci Stakes VII
Headed into the far turn, Wise Orangutan (24 points) is five lengths ahead of second place The Strategist (19 points). Third place is currently shared by four Analysts at 15 points each. The complete Standings are here.
Leg 4 may award up to 15 points (6 *base* plus 3 *bonus* per Fibonacci Pick). Leg 5 may award up to 21 points (6 *base* plus 5 *bonus* per Fibonacci Pick). To remain in contention in Leg 5, Analysts must be within 21 points of the leader after Leg 4. Currently, Wise O. has a 21 point lead on two Analysts, so they must keep pace or outperform Wise O. in Leg 4.
Scenarios
Wise O. cannot Win this week. The Strategist is too close to be eliminated. He can eliminate other Analysts,however, so we will consider the possible point situation. He has a unique set of Picks from Leg 3 (Browns, Steelers, Seahawks) so no Analyst is Boxed Out unless Picks are changed (his or others).
With a 15-point Trifecta (*base* Trifecta with 3 Fibonacci), Wise O. could reach 39 points. The minimum to remain in contention will then be 18 points after Leg 4. Analysts in third place would then need 3 or more points (*lame* Trifecta or better), while the Analysts at the rear will need 15-point Trifectas, to remain in contention.
With a 12-point Trifecta (*base* Trifecta with 2 Fibonacci), Wise O. could reach 36 points. The minimum to remain in contention will then be 15 points after Leg 4. All Analysts in third place would remain in contention regardless of points earned in Leg 4. Analysts currently below 15 points, will have to make up the difference with a combination of Trifectas and Fibonacci bonuses.
With a 9-point Trifecta (*base* Trifecta with 1 Fibonacci or *lame* Trifecta with 2 Fibonacci), Wise O. could reach 33 points. The minimum to remain in contention will then be 12 points after Leg 4. Those Analysts currently at 11 points or fewer, will then need at least a *lame* Trifecta with 1 or 2 Fibonacci bonuses.
If Wise O. scores less than 9 points, he may give up the lead to another Analyst who reaches 30 to 31 points. Thus, Analysts should aim to reach 9 to 10 points at a minimum to remain in contention for the Win (or Place) in Leg 5.
Analyst of the Year
Scenario
Wise O. (7 Trifectas) has had three straight Trifectas and will be going for a fourth this week.
If he gets the fourth straight Trifecta, Roxy Trot (1 Trifecta) will be eliminated (6 Trifectas behind with only five weeks to go). Also, KateTDid and Sponge Mom (2 Trifectas) must also earn Trifectas to remain in content for the Win (to be 5 Trifectas behind with 5 weeks to go).
If he does not get a Trifecta, Roxy Trot must earn a Trifecta to remain in contention for the Win (to be 5 Trifectas behind with 5 weeks to go).
