Picks and Standings

Picks | Players Haters Preakness 2015 | Leg 3

The Picks:

The Bookie: Colts/Patriots/Chargers
The Big Tuna: Patriots/49ers*/Raiders* +1
Little Tuna: Patriots/Colts/Browns*
Wise Orangutang: Chargers/Saints*/Jets* +1
The Strategist: Sea Hawks/Rams/Chargers
Kal Krome: Sea Hawks/Saints*/Jets* +1
Minds Blank : Browns*/Jets*/Raiders* +2
B-Reezy: 49ers*/Jets*/Raiders* +2

The Results:

The Bookie: Colts/Patriots/Chargers
The Big Tuna: Patriots/49ers*/Raiders*
Little Tuna: Patriots/Colts/Browns*
Wise Orangutang: Chargers/Saints*/Jets*
The Strategist: Sea Hawks/Rams/Chargers
Kal Krome: Sea Hawks/Saints*/Jets*
Minds Blank : Browns*/Jets*/Raiders*
B-Reezy: 49ers*/Jets*/Raiders*

* Denotes hater eligible pick.

Hater combination:

The first wipe out of the year (no trifectas). The only hater combination this past week was Saints*, Raiders*, and Patriots/Rams/Seahawks.

 

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Standings | Analyst of the Year II | Week 6

Analyst of the Year II

Little Tuna recaptures her lead after safely riding three undefeated teams to a third trifecta. The Strategist, however, follows by a nose with three trifectas and only one fewer correct pick after 6 weeks of the competition.

In a tie for third place with two trifectas, Big Tuna (13 correct picks) holds the inside position over Wise Orangutan (12) and The Bookie (11). In sixth, Minds Blank and B-Reezy are running neck and neck with one trifecta and 11 correct picks. Kal Krome remains in holdout by his Home Team.

If the season ended after Week 6, only four of eight Analysts would have demonstrated the horse sense to sponsor a playoff worthy steed!

Trifectas

Standings | Analyst of the Year II | Week 6
Standings after Week 6 of the Analyst of the Year, 2015-16

Tiebreakers

Correct Picks | Analyst of the Year II | Week 6
Picks Tiebreaker after Week 5 of the Analyst of the Year, 2015-16

 

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Standings | Player Haters Preakness II | Leg 2

Player Haters Preakness, 2015-16

Standings

In Leg 2 of the Preakness, The Strategist and Little Tuna overtake The Bookie for first and second place, respectively. The correct player hater pick was Lions, Panthers, and Patriots/Packers/Broncos, as four of the seven active Home Teams loss in head-to-head competition or hate.

The Strategist played the player hater trifecta to perfection in Leg 2, earning two trifecta points and sole lead after Leg 2 of the Preakness. Little Tuna, who played it safe with two Home Teams and the Panthers, moves into second place as her Patriots defeat The Bookie’s Colts in head-to-head competition.

At the back of the pack, five Analysts have yet to register a trifecta in the Preakness. Minds Blank, however, is building a body of tiebreaker advantages with two head-to-head wins over The Strategist and Orangutan) and two correct Home Team picks. The Big Tuna has one correct Home Team selection and the turnovers per game lead.

The other Analysts better get-to-step-step-steppin’ in Leg 3 of the Preakness!

Trifecta Points

Standings | Player Haters Preakness II | Leg 2
Standings after Leg 2 of the Player Haters Preakness II

Tiebreakers

Tiebreakers | Player Haters Preakness II | Leg 2
Tiebreakers after Leg 2 of the Player Haters Preakness, 2015-16

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Picks | Players Haters Preakness 2015 | Leg 2

The Picks:

The Bookie: Colts/Browns*/Panthers*
The Big Tuna: Broncos/Patriots/Sea Hawks
Little Tuna: Patriots/Packers/Panthers*
Wise Orangutang: Chargers/Lions*/Panthers*
The Strategist: Broncos/Lions*/Panthers*
Kal Krome: Sea Hawks/Packers/Lions*
Minds Blank : Packers/Lions*/Browns*
B-Reezy: Bears/Packers/Panthers*

* Denotes hater eligible pick.

The Results:

The Bookie: Colts/Browns*/Panthers*
The Big Tuna: Broncos/Patriots/Sea Hawks
Little Tuna: Patriots/Packers/Panthers* (1 point)
Wise Orangutang: Chargers/Lions*/Panthers*
The Strategist: Broncos/Lions*/Panthers* ( 2 points)
Kal Krome: Sea Hawks/Packers/Lions*
Minds Blank : Packers/Lions*/Browns*
B-Reezy: Bears/Packers/Panthers*

Lions and Panthers were the only correct player hater options in Week 6.

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Standings | Analyst of the Year II | Week 5

Analyst of the Year II

The Bookie and Big Tuna make their moves to shake up the race for the Analyst of the Year award. Bookie earns her second trifecta of the year to join the leader board in a five-way tie.

By picks, Big Tuna moves into a first place tie with Little Tuna with 11 picks. Tied for second, The Strategist, The Bookie, and Wise Orangutan have 10 picks. In a tie for sixth, Minds Blank and B-Reezy have 1 trifecta and 9 correct picks. Kal Krome is still confounded by his Seahawks.

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year II Standings Leg 5
Standings after Week 5 of the Analyst of the Year, 2015-16

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year II Picks Tiebreaker 5
Picks Tiebreaker after Week 5 of the Analyst of the Year, 2015-16

 

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Standings | Player Haters Preakness II | Leg 1

Player Haters Preakness, 2015-16

Standings

Seven of eight Analysts suffered a black eye as hate misguided our experts in the first week. The only winning combinations was Steelers, Bengals, and a Home Team — which no Analyst picked.

The Bookie played it safe with two Home Teams and the Bengals, to take a slender lead after the first leg of the Preakness.

Minds Blank built a tiebreaker over The Strategist with the Packers’ win. Blank and B-Reezy are the only Analysts to pick their Home Teams correctly, which may prove to be precious tiebreakers in the tight contest that is the Preakness this year.

Trifecta Points

Player Haters Preakness II Standings Leg 1
Standings after Leg 1 of the Player Haters Preakness II

Tiebreakers

Player Haters Preakness II Tiebreakers Leg 1
Tiebreakers after Leg 1 of the Player Haters Preakness, 2015-16

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Picks | Players Haters Preakness 2015 | Leg 1

The picks:

The Bookie: Patriots/Bengals/Broncos
The Big Tuna: Steelers/Bengals/Chiefs
Little Tuna: Texans/Bengals/Chiefs
Wise Orangutang: Chargers/Bengals/Chiefs
The Strategist: Broncos/Texans/Chiefs
Kal Krome: Sea Hawks/Packers/Steelers
Minds Blank : Packers/Texans/Raiders
B-Reezy: Bears/Steelers/Raiders

The results:

The Bookie: Patriots/Bengals/Broncos
The Big Tuna: Steelers/Bengals/Chiefs
Little Tuna: Texans/Bengals/Chiefs
Wise Orangutan: Chargers/Bengals/Chiefs
The Strategist: Broncos/Texans/Chiefs
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Packers/Steelers
Minds Blank : Packers/Texans/Raiders
B-Reezy: Bears/Steelers/Raiders

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Player Haters Preakness II | Slate of Games

The Entrants

All Analysts have decided to stick with their Home Teams for the 2015-16 Player Haters Preakness. The line up is:

Player Haters Preakness Slate of Analysts
The Analysts and their Home Teams for the Preakness

Slate of Games

Player Haters Preakness II Slate of Games
The Slate of Games for the Player Haters Preakness, 2015-16

The slate of games for the Player Haters Preakness II includes four head-to-head contests this month (again, the first tiebreaker). Minds Blank’s Packers face The Strategist’s Rams (Leg 1), Wise Orangutan’s Chargers (Leg 2), and Big Tuna’s Broncos (Leg 4). Also in Leg 2, Little Tuna’s Patriots travel to The Bookie’s Colts. REMINDER: No bonus points can be won for picks in head-to-head contests.

Home teams owned by an Analyst are in bold. The team at the left is the visiting team; the team at the right is the host (playing at home). There are several featured games: three Thursday night, two Sunday night, and two Monday night games. The Rams are on a bye in Leg 2, while the Bears, Broncos, and Packers are on a bye in Leg 3.

With four head-to-head contests AND four Bye weeks, the 2015-16 Player Haters Preakness features a narrow slate of games (5 games) in Leg 2 and Leg 3. In Leg 2, only three games feature un-owned opponents that can yield bonus points!

Picks

Remember: Every Analyst has a bias for his or her Home Team and may not pick the sponsored team to lose. Analysts do not have to pick his or her Home Team  to win, but the second tiebreaker remains the number of correct Home Team selections. See the Preakness Rules for more.

Email three picks to The Bookie before each leg (week) of the Race. The first picks are due on Thursday, October 8.

Resources

Check the current playoff standing of Home Teams.

 

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Standings | Analyst of the Year II | Week 4

Analyst of the Year II

Four weeks into the long season, and four Analysts have notched their second trifecta. Three more Analysts have one trifecta. One Analysts was short-reined by a holdout.

Currently, Little Tuna holds a slight lead with two trifectas and 10 correct picks. Big Tuna, Wise Orangutan, and The Strategist tie for second with 2 trifectas and 9 correct picks. Minds Blank has sole possession of fifth pace with 1 trifecta and 8 correct picks, followed by The Bookie and B-Reezy with 1 trifecta and 7 correct picks. Kal Krome trails.

Trifectas

Standings | Analyst of the Year II | Week 4
Standings for Analyst of the Year II in Week 4

Correct Picks

Picks Tiebreaker | Analyst of the Year II | Week 4
Picks Tiebreaker for the Analyst of the Year II after Week 4

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Commentary on the PC-Fecta Derby Point System

PC-Fecta Derby Scoring System

Two years in a row, the PC-Fecta Derby was not a close contest in the fourth week. Last year, Big Tuna won in week 3. This year, five of eight Analysts had been eliminated and two Analysts needed a trifecta PLUS all bonus points.

This thread is for the Analysts to discuss and comment on the point system of the PC-Fecta Derby.

The strange thing is the first two years, an Analyst had a team that dominated two out of the first three  weeks AND also got trifectas. It is not a given. If someone had the Cardinals or the Steelers as a Home Team, Little Tuna would not have had 6 points in the third week and everyone would have been in the contest. Both teams were playoff contenders last year, so they would have been a good option this year. Last year, the Pats were 2-2 in the first four weeks, so it was not a given that they play so well each year (in September anyway – before the fear of another loss invites the temptation to cheat).

The Derby point scoring is set up to award an Analyst for picking a good team in September AND for picking trifectas. Right now, Analysts have three undefeated teams – last year there were no undefeated teams in the football league after week four. There was a greater diversity of team fortunes this year and an Analyst with an undefeated team won.

This year we added the defensive bonus. Funny enough, the offensive bonus was awarded every week AND the defensive bonus was awarded only 1 of 4 weeks. By chance, trifecta winners in the PC-Fecta Derby have also been an offensive power. Considering we are only ~37% at picking trifectas, I find it strange that the trifecta picks and offensive bonuses have always been won together. It has worked as designed, but the results by Leg 3 have made the Derby the least competitive Race.

There are three alternatives for the future proposed by others through The Bookie (none of which would have changed the outcome – Little Tuna wins in all systems).

  1. Calculate bonus points only for those Analysts who earned trifectas: If The Clearinghouse did that, four more defensive points would have been awarded (due to a tie in week 4) — Orangutan (week 1), Big Tuna (week 3 and 4), and B-Reezy (Week 4) . The current defensive point system worked to keep Minds Blank in contention with 2 points. With this system, Big Tuna and Orangutan may have been in contention in the fourth leg of the race but then lost because they split the bonuses in the final week (an interesting outcome).
  2. Do not allow Analysts to take the same teams each week (other than Home Team): The Clearinghouse is not able to recalculate points, but if Analysts could not take the same horse two weeks in a row unless it is the Home Team, then the Analysts with winning Home Teams in the first month would have an added advantage. Now, almost all Analysts could have taken the Patriots, Packers, and Broncos for 3 points by week three to remain in contention. This rule would make that impossible. If Analysts could not ride other Analysts’ winning teams week in and week out, it would reduce all Analysts’ chances for trifectas and bonuses. That would (The Clearinghouse surmises) reduce correct trifectas below the current rate of ~37% after two years.
  3. Award 1 base trifecta point for 2 correct picks and 3 trifecta points for 3 correct picks. The Clearinghouse re-scored under this system and it would not have added more competitors in the final leg AND it would have made it easier Little Tuna to earn one extra trifecta point to win against her two contenders in Leg 4 (she picked two correctly in the final week).

PC-Fecta Derby is part picking trifectas AND part picking a Home Team that starts the year well. The Clearinghouse thinks the Derby works in that respect. Option 1 seems like the one that would add more contenders in the final leg of the race next year.

Add comments or other suggestions below.

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