Season III Archives - Page 4 of 8 - World Football Trifecta League

Scenarios | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 5

Fibonacci Stakes Leg 5 Scenarios:

Current Standings

Standings | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 4 — Standings after Leg 4 of Fibonacci Stakes III

Visitors: Rules for the Fibonacci Stakes can be found in the menu under Quaternary Crown.

In the final calculations of the Fibonacci Stakes, ~~all~~ all but one Analyst (see #7 below) remains in contention for The Winner’s Circle. With 5 base trifecta points and 3 bonus trifecta points at stake in Leg 5, an Analyst can come from behind to win with 8 points and as few as 5 points.

B-Reezy has positioned himself for the homestretch, but needs a trifecta with at least one Fibonacci bonus to cross the finish line unchallenged.

Beware the Box Out! If an Analyst with more points has the same three picks, there is no way to overtake the Analyst in the lead to start the homestretch!

Below are the most likely scenarios for the final leg of the Fibonacci Stakes:

B-Reezy (8 points) shows the lead with three full lengths between him and his closest challengers. He needs only 6 points (one same pick from Leg 4) to put the rest of the field out of reach. He has the weakest Tiebreakers, however, and will lose in every head-to-head tie with the other Analysts.
The Bookie (5 points) has the strongest Tiebreaker portfolio and will beat nearly every other Analyst in a tie (she cannot tie with Little Tuna). She can run for 8 points (same three picks as Leg 4) and race only B-Reezy or Atwork at the finish line. If she runs for 5 points (no Fibonacci bonuses), she could let Wise Orangutan slip past on the outside rail.
Atwork (5 points) has a weak Tiebreaker set, so his best chance is for B-Reezy and The Bookie to falter while picking up a trifecta of 7 points in value. Big Tuna chases one length behind, but the fish has a weaker Tiebreaker set at the moment.
Big Tuna (4 points) is the first of the Analysts who can win only if B-Reezy fails to get a trifecta. In addition, he has a weak Tiebreaker portfolio and may need to put clear distance between himself and the last challengers.
Wise Orangutan (3 points) has a modest Tiebreaker resume and can beat Big Tuna and Atwork at the line. He needs B-Reezy and The Bookie to spit the bit in the homestretch if he hopes to stand in the winners’ circle.
Little Tuna, Kal Krome, and The Strategist (0 points) need all of the above Analysts to fail to Pick Three and then also to Let ‘Em Ride (take the same three teams as last week) in order to win. If one or more end in a tie with B-Reezy, the strength of Tiebreakers as they stand currently comes in this order: Little Tuna, Kal Krome, The Strategist, and B-Reezy.
Three Analysts had both the Cowboys and Vikings last week. Those Analysts have to choose between the two teams or two other teams. That limits their point totals for this week to 7 points — effectively eliminating The Strategist. The Bookie and Atwork, currently contesting second place, are also limited to 7 points this week and 12 points total in the Fibonacci Stakes.

Will B-Reezy’s “good trip” come to a sudden halt or will the wily long-strider claim a Crown with his season-long strategy?!!?

***** SCENARIO UPDATE AFTER PICKS AND TNF *****

The Strategist was eliminated before the homestretch as she could not Let ‘ Em Ride (pick the same three teams) out of the far turn (Leg 4).
B-Reezy boxes out Little Tuna and eliminates her from the Fibonacci Stakes. Both Analysts have the same Picks, so they advance or fall back together.
After another dramatic ending that is ill-measured by the W-L column, Atwork fails to advance on B-Reezy down the homestretch after the Norsemen struggle to plunder the Texas Marshals. He has been eliminated.
Five Analysts remain in contention heading into the early games on Sunday….

***** SUNDAY EARLY GAME SCENARIOS *****

Game of the Day: Bills at Raiders

All of the Analysts not named B-Reezy who picked the Seahawks need the Bills to beat the Raiders. If the Raiders win, B-Reezy boxes out the field with the exception of The Bookie.B-Reezy’s (and Little Tuna’s) homestretch run of course hinges on the Raiders win and/or Seahawks loss. The Bookie right now has the open lane since she did not take the Seahawks, but her Dolphins must beat the Ravens at home.

***** SUNDAY LATE GAME SCENARIOS *****

1. Big Tuna’s and The Strategist’s last ditch Ram-ming down the homestretch is gunned down by the Patriots.

2. The Bookie faces mortality as the Ravens deal a deathblow to the Dolphins in the final push.

Only one Analyst appears to be within Charg(er)-ing distance of the frontrunner B-Reezy. B-Reezy can box out Wise Orangutan with a win by the Raiders, or he can trot across the finish line with a loss by the Chragers or the Seahawks. Wise O. needs a good trip down the homestretch with wins by the Chargers, Bills, and Seahawks if he hopes to close the distance!

***** SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME SCENARIOS *****

B-Reezy continues his sprint to the finish line of the Fibonacci Stakes. The Raiders secured his quote, dominance, unquote, over the league in Year 3 after the Wise Orangutan trips over his Home Team selection from the 1978-79 professional football season (!).

Heading into the SNF, B-Reezy wins with a Seahawks victory or loss, while Little Tuna shows legs and may come from behind to place in the Fibonacci Stakes if the Seahawks win.

All marvel as B-Reezy wins his first Crown!

Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 12

Analyst of the Year III

Round the final arc of the the second turn, B-Reezy presses the field into sudden death after adding his 6th Trifecta and 26th Correct Pick for the season. Analysts face elimination in the Analyst of the Year competition beginning next week!

Big Tuna holds onto second with 3 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks, followed closely by Wise Orangutan (3 Trifectas and 22 Correct Picks) and Atwork (3 Trifectas and 21 Correct Picks).

Kal Krome falters as his effort stalls with 2 Trifecta Points and 22 Correct Picks. The Bookie closes by one head 21st Correct Pick (2 Trifecta Points).

Little Tuna (1 Trifecta, 19 Correct Picks) and The Strategist (1 Trifecta, 18 Correct Picks) may have to be fitted with blinkers to hold focus and come from behind in the final five legs of the Analyst of the Year.

Trifectas

Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 12 — Standings after Leg 12 for the Analyst of the Year III

Correct Picks

Tiebreakers | Analyst of the Year III | Week 12 — Tiebreakers after Leg 12 for the Analyst of the Year III

Standings | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 4

Fibonacci Stakes III

Trifecta Points

In the far turn, B-Reezy re-establishes his dominance over the field. With the sole trifecta of the week, he gains 4 lengths with 3 base trifecta points and 1 bonus trifecta point.

The Bookie and Atwork (each 5 trifecta points) slip into 2nd and 3rd respectively as the Norsemen’s assault rounds aground the shores of the Detroit River.

Big Tuna controls 4th with 4 trifecta points, followed closely by Wise Orangutan in 5th (3 trifecta points).

Little Tuna, Kal Krome, and The Strategist now look to be long shots to finish the Fibonacci Stakes in the Winners’ Circle…

Tiebreakers

The Bookie continues to control inside rail on most Analysts. She claims the head-to-head tiebreaker over Wise Orangutan and The Strategist. With 4 Correct Home Team Selections and 6 Correct Fibonacci Bonus Picks, she leads all other Analysts but one by a head or more with tiebreakers.

Little Tuna gains her fourth Correct Home Teams Selection and 6th Fibonacci Bonus Pick. Kal Krome pulls up around the second turn as his Seahawks stumble, but still has 3 Correct Home Team Selections and 5 Fibonacci Bonus Picks.

Wise Orangutan adds to his Correct Home Team Selections (2) and distances himself every so slightly from former-front runner Atwork (1) and the qb hand-riding Strategist (1).

Big Tuna and B-Reezy must take the outside rail to win as neither has a Correct Home Team Selection headed into the homestretch.

Tiebreakers | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 4 — Tiebreakers after Leg 4 of Fibonacci Stakes III

Fibonacci Stakes III | Week 12 Picks

The Analysts picks are in:

The Bookie: Dolphins*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Big Tuna: Cowboys*/Seahawks*/Rams*
Little Tuna: Cowboys*/Seahawks*/Bears*
Wise Orangutan: Chargers/Seahawks*/Cowboys*
The Strategist: Rams*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Kal Krome: Seahawks*/Cowboys*/49ers
B-Reezy: Cowboys*/Dolphins/Lions
Atwork: *Vikings/Cowboys*/Seahawks*

Base trifecta is worth 3 points in this leg of the Fibonacci Stakes.

* Denotes Fibonacci bonus picks (none possible in Leg 1).

Race Day Notes:

Thank you all for the privilege I have had to interview each and everyone of you. Your candidness has been appreciated.

For the next 8 weeks I will ask each of you to reflect on your strategies and how they are working.

Our second muse will be from Little Tuna!

Little Tuna: Ahhh. Little Tuna. As I take this time to reflect on this years football season, I am not sad. Not sad about the stupid Bears. Not sad about the damn Vikings. Not sad about the pathetic Panthers. I feel only joy. Joy because even if Romo were to return, God help us, I am the only one who has won BOTH TROPHIES and 120 DOLLARS!!

The Clearinghouse: “120 DOLLARS” is a euphemism for 3 regular season races and implies no actual exchange of monies.

The Results Are In!

The Bookie: Dolphins*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Big Tuna: Cowboys*/Seahawks*/Rams*
Little Tuna: Cowboys*/Seahawks*/Bears*
Wise Orangutan: Chargers/Seahawks*/Cowboys*
The Strategist: Rams*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Kal Krome: Seahawks*/Cowboys*/~~49ers~~
B-Reezy: Cowboys*/Dolphins/Lions (4 points)
Atwork: *Vikings/Cowboys*/Seahawks*

Around the final turn, B-Reezy once again show the lead with the sole trifecta of the week for 4 points.

Wise Orangutan and The Bookie stumble on their third pick in the far turn.

The rest of the field notches only a single correct pick after the Seahawks and Vikings encounter a “bad trip” just before entering the home stretch to determine the pretenders and contenders of November.

** Trip: The course followed by a horse and rider during the running of a race and describes the “trouble” encountered. A horse that had a “good trip” did not encounter any unusual difficulty. A “bad trip” might involve racing wide, or being boxed in by other horses.

Mathematically speaking…

The Cowboys, Dolphins, and Raiders offered the only option to maximize Fibonacci bonus points in the 4th leg of the Fibonacci Stakes. Three picks two weeks in a row with a selection of those teams would have yielded 3 *base* trifecta points and 3 *bonus* trifecta points, for a total of 6 trifecta points and the lead.

Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 11

Analyst of the Year III

Heading into the second turn, B-Reezy commands the lead for the Analyst of the Year after adding his 5th Trifecta and 23rd Correct Pick for the season.

Big Tuna holds onto second with 3 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks, followed closely by Atwork and Wise Orangutan (each with 3 Trifectas and 20 Correct Picks).

Kal Krome is in position to close quickly despite having only 2 Trifecta Points as he has the third highest total of Correct Picks (21).

The Bookie begins to shows sign of her late season form after picking up her 2nd Trifecta and 19th Correct Pick.

Little Tuna (1 Trifecta, 18 Correct Picks) and The Strategist (1 Trifecta, 15 Correct Picks) reach the far turn far off the pace of the frontrunner.