Fibonacci Stakes Leg 5 Scenarios:
In the final calculations of the Fibonacci Stakes, all of the Analysts remain in contention for the winner’s circle. With 5 base trifecta points and 3 bonus trifecta points at stake in Leg 5, an Analyst can come from behind to win with 7 or 8 points.
Three leaders, however, have positioned themselves for the stretch run. Below are the most likely scenarios for the final turn of the Fibonacci Stakes:
- The Bookie holds the inside rail over B-Reezy and Kal Krome. If she goes for 8 points (same three picks as Leg 4), she will reach 14 points and hold the tiebreaker over B-Reezy. If she goes for 7 points (2 of 3 same picks from Leg 4 including the Panthers), only B-Reezy can pass her with an 8 point trifecta. If she goes for 6 points, B-Reezy can pass her with a Bears-included trifecta or Kal Krome can overtake her with a 7 point trifecta.
- B-Reezy can run for 8 points (same three picks as Leg 4) and distance himself from the other Analysts (except Bookie). With a 7 point trifecta including the Bears, B-Reezy will hold the edge over Kal Krome. If B-Reezy drops the Bears or goes for a 6 point trifecta (1 same team), then Kal Krome can overtake him with a Seahawks-led trifecta.
- Kal Krome’s best chance is for B-Reezy and The Bookie to falter while picking up a trifecta of any value. Having taken the Bengals last week, Kal can only notch 7 points in the final leg for a total of 12 points. Any trifecta combination, however, maintains his lead over all lower-positioned Analysts.
- Little Tuna, with 1 point currently, also took the Bengals last week. She may only earn 7 points to finish with 8 points. In a tie with other Analysts at 8 points, only Big Tuna can beat her (head-to-head tiebreaker due to Broncos over Pats). Otherwise, her 3 Home Team picks give her a comfortable lead over the other straggling Analysts.
- Big Tuna, Minds Blank, and The Strategist are in position to carry the same three teams for 8 total points in the Stakes. None of these Analysts currently have a Home Team selection, so Minds Blank has a minor edge since she can take her Packers. Big Tuna and The Strategist did not take their Home Teams in Leg 4 and would sacrifice a trifecta point (for 7 possible total) if they make the switch to their Home Team in the final leg.
- Wise Orangutan needs a whole lotta losers in order to win the Stakes. Having picked the Bengals in Leg 4, Orangutan can finish with only 7 points total.
- In a tie for first place with 6 points, The Bookie and B-Reezy hold the edge over most other Analysts by virtue of Home Team selections and head-to-head wins. If the Panthers lose and Bears win, B-Reezy has an opportunity to overtake The Bookie in the final leg based on Bonus Picks (third tiebreaker).
So, if The Bookie, B-Reezy, and/or Kal Krome earn a trifecta, one of the three Analysts will win the Stakes. If the three leaders stumble, the advantages for the five laggards is roughly Little Tuna, Big Tuna/Minds Blank/The Strategist (depending on picks), and lastly the Orangutan.
