PC-Fecta Derby III | Week 2 Picks

The Analysts picks are in:

The Bookie: Seahawks/Chargers/Bears
Big Tuna: Raiders/Panthers/Vikings
LittleTuna: Panthers/Patriots/Packers
Wise Orangutan: Chargers/Panthers/Raiders
The Strategist: Rams/Panthers/Chargers
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Patriots/Vikings
Minds Blank: still blank
B-Reezy: Seahawks/Panthers/Raiders
Atwork: Vikings/Seahawks/Bears

Race Day Notes:

Each week the Bookie will interview one analysis.

This week the Bookie had an in-depth telephone interview with Kal Krome. When asked how he felt the Seattle Seahawks would do this year, he hemmed and hawed awhile then replied, “I’m just not good at these things. My “Minds Blank”.

AND THEY’RE ROUNDING THE SECOND TURN!!!!!!

The Results Are In!

The Strategist startles the field with a sprint along the inside rail to take all three *bonus* trifecta points in the PC-Fecta Derby III.

Big Tuna, Kal Krome, B-Reezy, Atwork, and Wise Orangutan jockey to hold their positions around the second turn.

The Bookie and Little Tuna pace Minds Blank, who remains out to pasture and is now listed as doubtful after Leg 2 of the PCFecta Derby.

The Bookie: Seahawks/Chargers/Bears
Big Tuna: Raiders/Panthers/Vikings
LittleTuna: Panthers/Patriots/Packers
Wise Orangutan: Chargers/Panthers/Raiders
The Strategist: Rams/Panthers/Chargers (4 points)
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Patriots/Vikings
Minds Blank: still blank
B-Reezy: Seahawks/Panthers/Raiders
Atwork: Vikings/Seahawks/Bears

Top teams among trifecta winners:

Top offensive team (+2): Rams (9 points!)

Top defensive team (+1): Rams (3 points)

Final scores.

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Standings | PC-Fecta Derby III | Leg 1

PC-Fecta Derby III

Trifecta Points

The Big Tuna surges around the first turn, trailed by Kal Krome and a trio of early contenders. The remainder of the Analysts are in the gates or out to graze! See the pick results.

PC-Fecta Derby III Standings | Leg 1
Standings for PC-Fecta Derby III after Leg 1

Tiebreakers

In the event of a tie at the end of the PC-Fecta Derby, Kal Krome holds a tiebreaker over The Bookie after the Seahawks defeat the Dolphins.

Second and third tiebreakers are too early to read at this time.

PC-Fecta Derby III | Tiebreakers | Leg 1
Tiebreakers for PC-Fecta Derby III after Leg 1

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PC-Fecta Derby III | Week 1 Picks

The Analysts picks are in:

The Bookie:  Dolphins/Chiefs/Packers
Big Tuna:  Raiders/Seahawks/Packers
Little Tuna:  Panthers/Titans/Packers
Wise Orangutan: Packers/Seahawks/Texans
The Strategist:  Rams/Seahawks/Chiefs
Kal Krome: Sea Hawk/Packers/Vikings
Minds Blank:  still blank
B-Reezy:  Packers/Seahawks/Raiders
Atwork:  49ers/Seahawks/Packers

Race Day Notes:

Each week the Bookie will interview one analysis. This week while visiting the home of Little Tuna I asked her what she predicts for the 2016/17 season.

Little Tuna  boasted that she will Sweep the games this year!!!  Quite a bold prediction from such a little fish.

Oddly her eyebrows looked wild, her hair combed over to cover some baldness and her face looked like she had stuck it in a Cheetos feed bag while wearing goggles.

AND THEY’RE OFF!!!!!!

The Results Are In!

Five Analysts surge out of the gates to notch their first trifectas of the new racing season!

Around the first turn, Big Tuna, who staked a dark horse – The Raiders – in the Derby, jumps out to a one length lead over the next closest Analyst after a 35 point outing (offensive bonus trifecta = 2) against the Saints. Kal Krome, with his stalwart Seahawks, defeats The Bookie’s Dolphins while displaying a dominant defensive (defensive bonus trifecta  = 1).

B-Reezy, Atwork, and Wise Orangutan — each passing on their horse this past week — pace themselves with safe trifecta picks (if there is such a thing).

The Bookie and The Strategist falter after their own horses stumble on the road, while Little Tuna’s effort to prove the horse does not make the Analyst suffers a setback. Minds Blank remains out to pasture and now is listed as questionable for Leg 2 of the PCFecta Derby.

The Bookie:  Dolphins/Chiefs/Packers
Big Tuna:  Raiders/Seahawks/Packers (3 points)
Little Tuna:  Panthers/Titans/Packers
Wise Orangutan: Packers/Seahawks/Texans (1 point)
The Strategist:  Rams/Seahawks/Chiefs
Kal Krome: Seahawk/Packers/Vikings (2 points)
Minds Blank:  still blank
B-Reezy:  Packers/Seahawks/Raiders (1 point)
Atwork:  49ers/Seahawks/Packers (1 point)

 

Top offensive team: Raiders (35 points)

Top defensive team: Seahawks (10 points)

Final scores.

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PC-Fecta Derby III – Slate of Games

The Entrants

The Analysts have selected their Home Teams to start the new season and the entrants for the PC-Fecta Derby are:

PC-Fecta Derby III | Slate of Analysts
Slate of Analysts and Home Teams for the PC-Fecta Derby III

Slate of Games

PC-Fecta Derby III | Slate of Games
PC-Fecta Derby III | Slate of Games

The slate of games for the PC-Fecta Derby included 4 head-to-head competitions this month (first tiebreaker)! Kal Krome’s Seahawks face The Bookie’s Dolphins (week 1) and The Strategist’s Rams (week 2). Newcomer, Vikings challenge Minds Blank’s Packers (week 2) and Little Tuna’s Panthers (week 3).

Home teams owned by an Analyst are in bold. The team at the left is the visiting team; the team at the right is the host (playing at home). There are a several featured games: one Thursday night, three Sunday night, and three Monday games.

The Packers are on a Bye in week 4 – Minds Blank will not be able to earn PC-Fecta *bonus* points that week.

Picks

Remember: Every Analyst has a bias for his or her Home Team and may not pick the sponsored team to lose. Analysts do not have to pick his or her Home Team  to win, but *bonus* trifecta points are won only if Analysts include the Home Team in a winning trifecta. See the Derby Rules for more.

Email three picks to The Bookie before each leg (week) of the Race. The first picks are due on Wednesday, September 7.

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World Football Trifecta Championship 2016-17

WFTL Season III Preparations

To start the new season, The Bookie needs to know who is keeping their end-of-year horse and who is seeking to trade-up ponies. At the end of the regular season, the Analysts had these steeds:

The Bookie – Panthers
Big Tuna – Broncos
Kal Krome – Seahawks
The Strategist – Rams
Little Tuna – Patriots
Minds Blank – Packers
Wise Orangutan – Jets
B-Reezy – Bears

The starters rarely play in the fourth game of preseason, so here are the key dates to start the new season:

After Preseason Week 2 (August 24) – Announce if you are releasing your current team.
After Preseason Week 3 (August 31) – Select a new team.
After Preseason Week 4 (September 7) – Send the Bookie your share of the Purse for the year

For Analysts who relinquish teams, new teams will be selected in reverse order of last year’s season standings:

1) Minds Blank (2 Trifectas, 30 Correct Picks) – coin flip if necessary
1) B-Reezy (2 Trifectas, 30 Correct Picks) – coin flip if necessary
3) Kal Krome (4 Trifectas, 30 correct picks)
4) Wise Orangutan (4 Trifectas, 32 correct picks)
5) Big Tuna (4 Trifectas, 33 Correct Picks)
6) The Bookie (5 Trifectas, 32 Correct Picks)
7) The Strategist (6 Trifectas, 36 Correct Picks)
8) Little Tuna (7 Trifectas, 37 correct picks

New Analyst(s) will pick before returning Analysts.

Riders Up!

Which Analyst will add his or her Thoroughbred’s name to the most illustrious trophy in sports analysis at the end of the year?

Champions' Names Etched in Triumph
Champions’ Names Etched in Triumph on Trophy

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Final Results | Super Trifecta Bowl II

The Bowl Which Shall Not Be Named Picks and Results

Pick Results | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Championship Game
Pick Results from the Championship Game of Super Trifecta Bowl II

In the final leg, Big Tuna makes his move and distances himself from the rest of the field. His Home Team Broncos poach the defensive Reverse PC Fecta points from The Bookie in the final game.

Unfortunately for Le Grande Tuna, The Bookie dug deep and willed herself to the finish line.

And the winner of Super Trifecta Bowl II is…

Super Trifecta Bowl II

The Bookie! In The Bookie’s first official win, she started fast with The Strategist and Minds Blank, then kept up her pace just enough to fend off Big Tuna.

Big Tuna’s strategy was to run a steady pace through Super Trifecta Bowl II, and while he did not win, he edges Minds Blank for the place.

Minds Blank started at a blistering pace but gradually lost her advantage in the final rounds, but still proudly shows.

The Strategist and Wise Orangutan finish just behind the winners. Kal Krome made a respectable dash in the first leg, but then ran into the seeder redux improbabilities.

At the back, Little Tuna edges B-Reezy by a nose for seventh position on the basis of her Home Team’s Playoff Victory points in the Divisional Round.

A round of applause to all the players for another fine year of competition to be the Analyst with the best horse sense in World Professional Football Analysis!

Final Standings

Final Results | Super Trifecta Bowl II
Final Results in Super Trifecta Bowl II

Final Home Team Tiebreakers

Home Team Tiebreakers | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Final
Final Home Team Tiebreakers in Super Trifecta Bowl II

Final Common Tiebreakers

Common Tiebreakers | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Final
Final Common Tiebreakers Super Trifecta Bowl II

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Super Trifecta Bowl II | Slate of Games | Championship Game

Courtesy of CBS Sports, the Slate of Games for the Championship Round of Super Trifecta Bowl II are:

Super Trifecta Bowl II | SlateofGames | Championship Game
The Bowl Which Shall Not Be Named for Super Trifecta Bowl II

Analysts must pick from the two games and may NOT pick against their own Home Team. Analysts whose Home Teams have been eliminated are free to pick any of the four teams to win.

As a game of skill, we provide a few links for Analysts to prepare their prognostication research:

Team Stats
ELO Predictions (fivethirtyeight.com)
Colleagues (other experts)

Trifecta Points

The above game is the completion of the Championship Round of the Super Trifecta Bowl. A trifecta (pick three correctly) is worth 1 point in the Championship Round.

The two world professional football teams playing The Bowl Which Shall Not Be Named are the #1 seeds in the playoff tournament. The only points to be earned by Analysts without a Home Team in The Unmentionable Bowl can only earn points from a correct trifecta.

Analysts whose Home Teams are playing in the Championship Game may still collect 3 Reverse PC Fecta points for highest offensive score and lowest defensive score allowed.

No Player Hater, Seeder Redux, or Playoff Victory points are awarded for the outcome of the Championship Game.

Maximum Points Possible

One. Only one. Only if you picked the two teams in the Conference Championship Round.

Eliminated Analysts

Everyone except The Bookie has been eliminated from contention in Super Trifecta Bowl II. Pick with pride, pick with honor, pick to start the new season well.

Contesting Analysts – Scenarios

The Bookie wins with 19 points if the Broncos score less than 49 points or allow the Panthers to score 15 or more points.

The Bookie wins with 16 points if the Broncos score 50 or more points and allow the Panthers to score 14 or less points.

Championship Game Picks

You are going to do it. No matter if it does not matter. You are always as smart as the last game you picked.

Required Picks | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Championship Game
Required Picks in the Championship Game to Be a Good Sport in Super Trifecta Bowl II

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Standings | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Championship Round (Preliminary)

Super Trifecta Bowl II

The Bookie capitalizes on her Home Team’s playoff victory (+3 points) to build an insurmountable lead (16 points) heading into the final leg of the season,  The Bowl Which Shall Not Be Named.

In second place, Minds Blank (12 points), is finished for the season. Big Tuna (11 points) and The Strategist (11 points) trail by a length, but can overtake her with one more trifecta point. In case of a tie, the order of strength is: The Strategist (Base Trifectas), Big Tuna (Playoff Victory Points), and Minds Blank. Who will place? Who will show?

In fifth, Wise Orangutan (10 points) limps to the finish with a comfortable distance over Kal Krome (7 points) who can close the distance by a length.

B-Reezy, with a correct pick in the Championship Game, can take sole possession of seventh place… sending Little Tuna to a shameful defeat in the final Race of Season II of the World Football Trifecta League!

 

Standings | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Championship Round (Preliminary)
Preliminary Standings in the Championship Round of Super Trifecta Bowl II

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Super Trifecta Bowl II | Slate of Games | Championship Round

Courtesy of CBS Sports, the Slate of Games for the Championship Round of Super Trifecta Bowl II are:

Super Trifecta Bowl II | SlateofGames | Championship Round
The Slate of Games for the Championship Round of Super Trifecta Bowl II

Analysts must pick from the two games and may NOT pick against their own Home Team. Analysts whose Home Teams have been eliminated are free to pick any of the four teams to win.

As a game of skill, we provide a few links for Analysts to prepare their prognostication research:

Team Stats
ELO Predictions (fivethirtyeight.com)
Colleagues (other experts)

Trifecta Points

A trifecta (pick three correctly) is worth 1 point in the Championship Round.

Analysts whose Home Teams are playing in the Championship Round will collect 3 Playoff Victory points if their Home Team wins. (NOTE: Analysts with Home Team remaining in the race MUST pick their Home Team in this leg).

The Analysts who correctly pick Home Teams in the Championship Round may earn Reverse PCFecta points: 2 for the best defensive effort (lowest score by an opponent) and 1 for the best offensive effort (highest score by the Home Team).

In the Championship Round, there are no Player Hater points available because the last un-sponsored team has been eliminated from the professional football league playoffs.

The following teams earn Seeder Redux points with a win: Cardinals (1 point) and Patriots (1 point).

Maximum Points Possible

The highest-seeded teams (1 or 2) have progressed to the Championship Round and four Analysts have had their steeds eliminated. The maximum points possible are determined by the situation of the Analysts after the Divisional Round.

In order to win, The Bookie’s strong showing in the first two legs forces all other Analysts to pick against the Panthers: if the Panthers win the conference championships this week, The Bookie wins Super Trifecta Bowl II with 16+ points.

With these conditions in mind, the most points Analysts may earn are:

Team eliminated: 1-3 points. Base trifecta is worth 1 point. If the Analyst picks a #2 seed (Patriots or Cardinals) to win the world football professional championship, 2 Seeder Redux points are possible based on opponents. The maximum Seeder Redux points may be earned in one of three ways:

1. Pick Patriots and Cardinals to win Conference games.
2. Pick Patriots and Panthers to win this week, then the Patriots to beat the Panthers in the world football championship game.
3. Pick Cardinals and Broncos to win this week, then the Cardinals to beat the Broncos in the world football championship game.

Analysts with #2 Seeds: 4-9 points. Base trifecta is worth 1 point. If the 2 seed wins, the Analyst earns 3 Playoff Victory points and 1 Seeder Redux point. The Analyst also becomes eligible for 3 Reverse PC-Fecta points. Both Analysts must pick against the Panthers in the conference championship to win.

Analysts with #1 Seeds: 3-8 points. Base trifecta is worth 1 point. If the 1 seed wins, the Analyst earns 3 Playoff Victory points. The Analyst also becomes eligible for 3 Reverse PC-Fecta points. Big Tuna must pick against the Panthers to block The Bookie and earn 1 Seeder Redux point with a Cardinal win. The Bookie may pick the Patriots for a Seeder Redux point, but is not required in order to win.

Eliminated Analysts

With the top-seeded teams owned by Analysts, the outcome of Super Trifecta Bowl II once again favors the Analysts with Home Teams in contention or Analysts who accumulated points in the early rounds.

Since only three points may be earned by Analysts whose Home Teams lost in earlier rounds, Kal Krome (7) and B-Reezy (4) are eliminated.

Little Tuna, with the #2 seed Patriots, may earn 9 more points riding her Home Team to another world professional football championship – but it will not be enough for her to overtake The Bookie. The Bookie has 13 points and 3 base trifecta points (first tiebreaker). The most Little Tuna will earn in the Championship Round is 13 points and 1 base trifecta point.

Therefore, Little Tuna has been eliminated from Super Trifecta Bowl II and a new champion will be crowned in 2016. Nonetheless, she is in prime position to play the spoiler in the final leg and show or place to end the race.

Contesting Analysts – Scenarios

In order of strength, the the Analysts in contention for Super Trifecta Bowl II are:

The Bookie (13 points): The Bookie must pick the Panthers per the rules and if the Panthers win, she earns a minimum of 3 Playoff Victory points – enough to beat all other Analysts. She can reach up to 21 points total by earning Reverse PC Fecta points, correctly picking the Panthers’ opponent, and correctly picking the winner of the world professional football championship game in February.

Minds Blank (12 points): If the Panthers lose, the mindless one will earn 1 Seeder Redux point if she picks the Cardinals. If she correctly picks the winner of Broncos-Patriots AND correctly picks the world professional football championship game she earns at least 14 points to force a determination by tiebreakers. Blank may earn up to 15 points provided she picks one of the #2 seeds to become the champion.

Wise Orangutan (10 points): If the Panthers lose, the wise one earns 3 Playoff Victory points and becomes eligible for Reverse PC-Fecta points. If he earns at least two Reverse PC-Fecta points, he forces a tie with Minds Blank at the worst. If he wins all three Reverse PC Fecta points, he wins. Alternatively, he may earn two more points from a winning trifecta in which the Cardinals win the world professional football championship.

The Strategist (11 points): If the Panthers lose, the strategic one will earn 1 Seeder Redux point if she picks the Cardinals. If she correctly picks the winner of Broncos-Patriots AND correctly picks the world professional football championship game, she may earn up to 14 points provided she picks a #2 seed to become the champion. She must pick a different championship game or different champion than Minds Blank and Wise Orangutan in order to avoid the Box Out – see “Teams Eliminated” options above.

Big Tuna (8 points): If the Panthers lose, the fishy one earns 3 Playoff Victory points with a Broncos victory and 1 Seeder Redux (for picking against the Panthers). He also becomes eligible for 3 Reverse PC-Fecta points. If he earns at least one Reverse PC-Fecta points, he reaches 13 points to tie The Bookie and forces tiebreakers in the final week. If he earns all three Reverse PC-Fecta points, he reaches 15 points this week and will win Super Trifecta Bowl II with 16 points if the Broncos win the world professional football championship game.

Championship Picks

By rule, the Analysts must select their Home Teams in the Divisional Round. In addition, only The Bookie can build a trifecta with the Panthers to win Super Trifecta Bowl II. All other Analysts must pick against the Panthers.

The required Picks to win are:

Required Picks | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Championship Round
Required Picks to win Super Trifecta Bowl II in the Championship Round

 

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Standings | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Divisional Round

Super Trifecta Bowl II

A contentious battle for position in the second leg of Super Trifecta Bowl II considerably slows trifecta point accumulation when the highest-seeded teams defeat the upstart wild horses!

Coming out of the second turn, The Bookie (13) whips her Home Team to a win to take one length lead over Minds Blank. Minds Blank (12) tried to put the competition away with a risky move along the outside, but her Home Team fell in overtime and she now holds second place by a length.

Falling into third, The Strategist (11) trusted her Home Team filly to bounce the reigning champion and fails to capitalize on her strong start. Trailing by a length, Wise Orangutan (10) barely escapes a manic effort by Minds Blank’s Home Team. He notches just enough to hold a two length lead over Big Tuna (8). Big Tuna spurred on his Home Team to buck the last player hater opponents from the field to secure fifth place.

Kal Krome (7), followed Minds Blank on the outside looking for upsets, but falters around the second turn to drop into 6th place. Little Tuna (4) keeps it sportsmanlike in the Divisional Round and her Home Team earns her enough to tie for seventh position — but is it too little too late for the reigning champion?

B-Reezy (4) ends the season snake-bitten as his hopes are dashed by the loss of the last un-sponsored team, and after a brutal slip on a game winning field goal by his Home Team in the Wildcard Round. We suspect the rookie will learn from his mistakes this past year!

Total and Base Trifecta Points

Standings | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Divisional Round
Standings after the Divisional Round of the Super Trifecta Bowl II

No further movement in base trifecta points. In the event of tie among the top four contestants, a trifecta in the Championship may prove to be the difference.

Home Team Super Trifecta Points

Home Team Tiebreakers | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Divisional Round
Home Team Tiebreakers after the Divisional Round of Super Trifecta Bowl II

The higher-seeded teams once again dominate the Divisional Round.

Little Tuna, The Bookie, Big Tuna, and Wise Orangutan pick up speed with 2 Playoff Victory points in the Divisional Round.

Big Tuna gains on the leaders with 2 Reverse PC-Fecta points by sponsoring the winning Home Team with the best Defense.

The Bookie moves into the lead by virtue of 1 Reverse PC-Fecta point for sponsoring the winning Home Team with the best Offense.

Common Super Trifecta Points

Common Tiebreakers | Super Trifecta Bowl II | Divisional Round
Common Tiebreakers after the Divisional Round in Super Trifecta Bowl II

An exercise in contrasts this week as the higher-seeded teams sweep the Divisional Round games. No Seeder Redux points were possible.

No Player Hater points could have been earned as the final unsponsored team loses in the playoffs.

 

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