Current Standings | PC-Fecta Derby VI
Roxy Trot has a 6 point lead (*base* Trifecta) on her nearest challenger. Currently, five Analyst trail her by more than 17 points (maximum possible in a single week).
Box Out
A Box Out occurs when one Analyst selects the same teams to win as an Analyst with fewer points. Both Analysts earn a Trifecta together or bust together, thus, the Analyst in the lead boxes out the challenger and may hold the lead regardless of the Picks outcome. Box Outs may occur in full (three Picks) or in part (one or two Picks). For instance, if two Analysts have two Picks in common, and both Teams from the different Picks win, then the front-running Analyst Boxes Out the trailing Analyst because both win or lose together on the two common Picks. In other words, Analysts playing for one of the four Crowns need to consider which teams the Analyst(s) in the lead may Pick to win in the final Legs.
In the PC-Fecta Derby, a Box Out can be beaten if an Analyst’s Home Team earns the Offense and/or Defense bonus points. If that should be the case, the trailing Analyst nets an extra 3 to 10 points more than the leading Analyst despite having the exact same Picks.
Scenarios
There are 34 points possible in the final two Legs provided that an Analyst hits the *base* Trifecta PLUS all *bonus* points. If there are no ties for best offense or defense, as usually happens, only one Analyst can earn the maximum points possible. This means that the Analysts who do not earn Trifectas or *bonus* points will be eliminated For the Win starting in Leg 3.
For the Win: Roxy Trot can eliminate all Analysts except Craft Brew and Atwork if she earns both the Offense and Defense *bonus* points in Leg 3. Alternatively, all Analysts not within 17 points of Roxy Trot after Leg 3 will be eliminated. The five Analysts currently 18+ points behind likely have to earn Offense or Defense *bonus* points to be in contention for the Win in Leg 4. Typically, as only one Analyst earns each type of *bonus* points, at least three of these Analysts likely will be eliminated from the Win in Leg 3. The Analysts in the middle of the field (i.e., currently within 17 points of the leader) will need to match or beat Roxy Trot’s pace (*lame* or *base* Trifecta) to stay within 17 points after Leg 3. If she hits a Trifecta in Leg 3, the challengers must also earn Offense or Defense *bonus* points to make ground on the leader.
For the Place: Craft Brew (21) currently holds Place, but he does not lead any Analyst by more than 17 points after Leg 2. Six Analysts are within 4 to 11 points of Place. Thus, all Analysts remain in contention for Place and several are in good positions. If most Analysts continue to earn *lame* or *base* Trifectas (as has happened in the first two Legs), an Analyst will likely need to earn 7-10 *bonus* points during the final two Legs to Place.
